Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.530075 1.836376 2.206508 2.692545 3.322742 4.124661 5.242830e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.113025 1.480902 1.990554 2.772469 3.988402 5.894384 9.306146e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.852892 1.212002 1.756182 2.686079 4.339411 7.397038 1.420221e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.726677 1.089251 1.681001 2.790628 5.017984 9.849483 2.337929e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.626708 0.978867 1.588057 2.819827 5.560008 12.419242 3.649076e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.538959 0.868429 1.464381 2.743112 5.836819 14.595345 5.256517e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.474617 0.785835 1.371400 2.697099 6.165377 17.238059 7.732954e+01
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.445927 0.762018 1.384940 2.889221 7.226839 23.438612 1.455403e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.416675 0.731569 1.377560 3.029631 8.239956 30.955846 2.776004e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.381263 0.683161 1.321671 3.028814 8.812466 37.525790 4.814565e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.346331 0.630643 1.246763 2.954424 9.094356 43.222920 7.922227e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.323701 0.600478 1.217445 3.001603 9.894841 54.118900 1.686825e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.307682 0.582898 1.216507 3.141612 11.249532 73.710953 5.416923e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.287550 0.553788 1.182514 3.169990 12.158999 93.530276 1.915673e+04
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.263391 0.512723 1.111422 3.054446 12.278458 105.994905 5.924449e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.251838 0.498847 1.108369 3.174785 13.826704 147.141850 2.193726e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.238047 0.478050 1.083258 3.208599 14.939555 191.814713 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.221329 0.448483 1.029498 3.118172 15.194480 223.407731 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.207515 0.424474 0.987810 3.064037 15.688510 269.425762 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.203503 0.423814 1.012561 3.290236 18.608748 449.031524 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.197711 0.418042 1.021452 3.455982 21.381324 728.454541 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.188026 0.401390 0.994882 3.455016 22.688435 995.876108 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.177090 0.380506 0.952350 3.367159 23.055525 1225.192431 NaN